By treating your own decisions as bets—where the stakes are your time, money, or reputation—you force yourself to evaluate the hidden information and biases driving your choices. 3. Buddy Systems and Truth-Seeking Pods
By tracking these before you know the result, you prevent your future self from falling into the trap of hindsight bias. Python and R Scripts for Risk Modeling thinking in bets pdf github
When a project fails, don't just blame the process. Analyze the decision-making process that led to it. Was it a bad bet, or just bad luck? By treating your own decisions as bets—where the
: Life involves hidden information and luck (like poker), unlike chess, where all pieces are visible and the better player almost always wins. thinking in bets pdf github